Saylor ate. The tax man knocks tomorrow

While retail was panic-selling their cornbread, Saylor was quietly ordering seconds — and now the check is due for everyone else.

BTC got tired of sitting below $74,788 and walked right through it — fresh 14-day high, ETH running even hotter at +8.96%. The IRS serves tomorrow with $2.8 billion in estimated forced selling — but the smart money already ate the dip, and history says the bounce comes after.

TODAY'S BOARD

BTC $74,778 (+5.53%) — $74,788 ceiling cleared. $76,100 is the only gate left.

ETH $2,389 (+8.96%) — $2,377 rejection high absorbed. ETH leading BTC.

IRS Deadline — April 15 — tomorrow — $2.8B selling. $73K / $2,300 are the dip levels. Hold = buy. Break = wait.

TODAY'S JOB

The IRS serves tomorrow. Know $73K for BTC and $2,300 for ETH — those are your dip levels. If they hold, the post-tax bounce pattern is on the menu.

Market Snapshot

  • BTC: $74,778 (+5.53%) | Two consecutive daily closes above the former double-top ceiling. 14-day high.

  • ETH: $2,389 (+8.96%) | ETH decided it was done getting rejected — absorbed the $2,377 ceiling and started pushing $2,400.

  • Fear & Greed: 21 (Fear) ← 21 — Printing 14-day highs while sitting in fear. Wall of Worry overtime.

Levels at a Glance

BTC  Daily tape: +5.53% (O $73,337 | H $74,839 | L $74,120 | C $74,778)

     Support: $73,000 — former resistance, confirmed floor. Tomorrow's IRS dip level. | Resistance: $76,100 — weekly close confirmation gate. | Bias: Bullish

ETH  Daily tape: +8.96% (O $2,377 | H $2,391 | L $2,356 | C $2,389)

     Support: $2,300 — role reversal confirmed. Tomorrow's IRS dip level. | Resistance: $2,400 — round-number ceiling, $11 away. | Bias: Bullish

Core Setup — The Tax Man's Tap at the Door: $2.8B Coming, $73K Holds the Kitchen

The IRS serves tomorrow — $2.8 billion in estimated selling, mechanical not conviction. Historically, BTC averages a 5-8% rally in the two weeks after April 15. Does $73,000 hold Wednesday? If yes, $76,100 is the next target. The institutional receipt is already public: Strategy bought 13,927 BTC at $71,902 between April 6–12 — right at the fear bottom. They catered the dip.

🔑 Quick Hit

MACRO — Dollar at Multi-Month Low, Still Falling | DXY 98.20 — down 10.8 points from January's 109. The inverse relationship between dollar weakness and BTC is the most reliable macro signal in this rally. Every point lower adds fuel.

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Starving Chartist · Daily Dose · Free · April 14, 2026

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