$78K Reclaimed — BOJ Monday Decides
Three days of resistance, two days of coiling — Sunday morning BTC ordered $78K off the menu and got it.
The 3-day wedge broke upside overnight. BTC pushed to $78,146 and is holding at $78,093 — first above $78K since April 21. Iran FUD, EF supply pressure, and a White House incident all hit. BTC answered by breaking resistance.
TODAY'S BOARD
BTC $78,093 (+0.58%) — 🟢 — 3-day cap broken; first $78K+ close since Apr 21
Primary Risk — BOJ Monday T-1 — 🔴 — Hawkish BOJ → yen carry unwind before US open
Conviction — 62% Medium-High — 🟡 — Breakout structural; Monday confirms
TODAY'S JOB
Sunday breakouts need Monday's full kitchen to confirm. $78K must hold on the first real test.
Market Snapshot
BTC: $78,090 (+0.58%) | 3-day wedge broke upside; close $78,093 is the first above $78K since April 21
ETH: $2,332 (+0.55%) | Testing $2,338 overhead on BTC tailwind; ETH/BTC 0.0299 — following, not leading
Fear & Greed: 31 (Fear) ← 31 — Flat; recovering slowly
Levels at a Glance
BTC Daily tape: +0.14% (O $77,490 | H $77,878 | L $77,238 | C $77,597)
Support: $78,000 (reclaimed) / $77,321 (micro-floor, 4 sessions defended) | Resistance: $78,651 | Bias: Cautiously Bullish — pending Monday confirmation
ETH Daily tape: +0.14% (O $2,315 | H $2,320 | L $2,312 | C $2,318)
Support: $2,300 | Resistance: $2,338 ($5 away — closest approach tracked) | Bias: Neutral — BTC-dependent
Core Setup — The Stress Test BTC Passed This Weekend
The weekend menu had three courses: Iran talks scrapped (Hormuz risk premium back on), a White House security incident, and the Ethereum Foundation unstaking $48.9M ETH on top of a $23.87M OTC sale this week. BTC digested all three and is holding at $78,093.
$78,000 flipped from the 3-day ceiling (Apr 22–25) to reclaimed support.LTH absorption intact. Morgan Stanley's $184M in ETF inflows didn't flinch. Sunday thin volume means Monday is the real confirmation session — full picture in paid.
🔑 Quick Hit
INSTITUTIONAL — Morgan Stanley BTC ETF: $184M Inflows Intact | $184M mid-week extends the 9-day, $2.4B institutional streak. Last comparable run preceded Oct 2025's $126K rally.
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Starving Chartist · Daily Dose · Free · April 26, 2026
